{"id":397,"date":"2006-02-03T13:43:00","date_gmt":"2006-02-03T13:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/?p=397"},"modified":"2025-04-24T17:46:03","modified_gmt":"2025-04-24T17:46:03","slug":"book-log-bull","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/?p=397","title":{"rendered":"Book Log &#8211; Bull!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>BULL! A History of the Boom, 1982-1999<\/i> by Maggie Mahar<\/p>\n<p>This was a great book, at least for an investing geek like me.  Charlie<br \/>\nMunger (2nd in command at Berkshire Hathaway) emphatically recommended<br \/>\nthis book back when it came out in 2003.  A real in-depth look at the<br \/>\ninsanity.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, consider the position of mutual fund managers in 1998.  They<br \/>\nare judged by their returns, relative to an index like the S&#038;P 500.<br \/>\nThey&#8217;re looking at the prices the market is giving companies like Cisco<br \/>\nand Amazon and saying to themselves &#8220;this doesn&#8217;t make sense.&#8221;  But they<br \/>\ncan&#8217;t <i>not<\/i> buy them.  Because even though the rise of the prices is<br \/>\ninsane, if they don&#8217;t meet or beat that insane rise, they&#8217;ll get canned.<br \/>\nIf they buy into sensibly priced stocks, which are few and far between,<br \/>\nand they &#8220;only&#8221; get something like 15% annual return while the Ciscos and<br \/>\nAmazons return 100%, they&#8217;ll get canned.  On the flip side, if they buy<br \/>\nthe stocks that everyone else is buying, like Amazon and Cisco, and then<br \/>\nthe whole market tanks, especially Amazon and Cisco, they <i>won&#8217;t<\/i> get<br \/>\ncanned, because the index tanked, and hey, everybody was fooled anyway,<br \/>\nright?<\/p>\n<p>So, the ramp up to the 1998-2001 crash slowly weeded out fund managers who<br \/>\nkept their integrity and bought what made sense for their clients instead<br \/>\nof their career.  The dark side of Natural Selection: the remaining herd<br \/>\nwere well adapted for the environment that selected them (the bull<br \/>\nmarket), but when that environment changed&#8230; extinction of their client&#8217;s<br \/>\ndollars.<\/p>\n<p>A very informative read.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BULL! A History of the Boom, 1982-1999 by Maggie Mahar This was a great book, at least for an investing geek like me. Charlie Munger (2nd in command at Berkshire Hathaway) emphatically recommended this book back when it came out &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/?p=397\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[481,513],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-book-log","category-books","tag-book-log-2006"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=397"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3483,"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397\/revisions\/3483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=397"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=397"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/journal.electric-rocket.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=397"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}