Book Log – Investment Fables

Investment Fables: Exposing the Myths of “Can’t Miss” Investment Strategies by Aswath Damodaran

Aswath Damodaran is a professor at NYU. He writes very accessible books on investing and valuation, and makes several of them available for free on the internet as well as streaming videos of his lectures. This book is not available online, but it’s part of the Motley Fool Hidden Gems recommended reading list. There were all sorts of good tidbits of information here and he does a good job of demonstrating why a lot of stupid strategies are, in fact, stupid. At the same time, he points out ways in which the strategies could be modified to be effective. For example, instead of just investing in low P/E stocks, look for low P/E stocks with a few other character traits that will help you to avoid stocks that are low for a reason.

There was one bit that bothered me so much that I dog-eared the page. From page 439, which relates to aribitrage strategies:

Third, even if the information is correct and investors, on average, form expectations properly, there might still be investors who are willing to trade a prices that do not reflect these expectations. Thus, an investor who assesses the value of a stock to be $50 might still be willing to buy at $60, because he or she believes that it can be sold to someone else for $75 later. Investors who see this irrationality and are willing to bet on it or against it may be able to make higher returns in the long term. This presumably is what successful investors like Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch bring to the process.

I was fine with it up until the last sentence. What on earth was he talking about? Both Buffett and Lynch were famous for not buying something for more than it was worth and hoping someone else will buy it still higher. They ridicule other people for doing it.

I can only assume this is a typo, because the rest of the book is spot on.

Podcasting

For those of you getting into this podcast craze all the kids are doing, I’m enjoying Skepticality, a show about Skepticism produced here in Atlanta.

Their synopsis:

Bringing truth to podcasting, and all who choose to listen. Derek and Swoopy are your hosts, filling your pod and your brain with skeptical insight and conversation, sometimes heated, on a plethora of topics that are ripe for critical examination.

We’re tired of pertinent social and science news being buried by clap trap. Our podcast is here to bring you relevant, under reported current events, as well as in-depth discussions from a scientific, critical, skeptical, and humorous point of view.

In our travels we will tackle the beasts of pseudoscience; the paranormal, supernatural, ufo / alien encounters, mis-understood history, and overwrought legends – urban or otherwise.

Happy Birthday, Dad’s Garage

Dad’s Garage Theater is celebrating its 10th season this weekend.

For all the ups and downs I’ve had with this place over the years, in the final analysis, I would not have had the wonderful friends, wife, and life I have now without it. The importance of that peculiar institution (Dad’s, not slavery) simply can’t be overstated.

So, a tip of the hat to the Little Theater That Sometimes Could, and best wishes for another 10.

A Good Adjective To Keep Handy

[2005-06-23 : 11:38:48] : Do you still go out for lunch?
[2005-06-23 : 11:43:16] : Very rarely.
[2005-06-23 : 11:43:34] : I’m thinking about going to Buffalo Wild Wings at some point soon.
[2005-06-23 : 11:43:54] : You don’t seem like a Buffalo Wild Wings sort of person to me.
[2005-06-23 : 11:44:10] : No, I’m not. It’s professional curiosity.
[2005-06-23 : 11:44:16] : I mean, I like wings and all.
[2005-06-23 : 11:45:13] : Professionally?
[2005-06-23 : 11:45:26] : Investment-professionally.
[2005-06-23 : 11:45:42] : Oh that’s right.
[2005-06-23 : 11:45:45] : I’d forgotten.
[2005-06-23 : 11:45:51] : Not that I’m a professional investor. I just don’t know what else to call that type of interest.
[2005-06-23 : 11:46:06] : Amateur.
[2005-06-23 : 11:46:15] : amateur curiosity?
[2005-06-23 : 11:46:16] : Avocational.
[2005-06-23 : 11:46:21] : That’s a good one.
[2005-06-23 : 11:46:31] : I know a lot of words.
[2005-06-23 : 11:46:43] : I’ve heard.
[2005-06-23 : 11:47:25] : An avocational investor. That’s a good phrase to keep handy.
[2005-06-23 : 11:47:47] : Also, an avocational improvisor.
[2005-06-23 : 11:49:33] : Also, an avocational reader.
[2005-06-23 : 11:50:01] : An avocational poop-taker. There’re really no limit with this adjective!
[2005-06-23 : 11:50:07] : Indeed!

Book Log – System of the World

System of the World: Volume 3 of the Baroque Cycle by Neal Stephenson

Well, that’s it. I’m done with the trilogy, as of Tuesday. And I’m really sad. I simply wanted it to keep going. I read the last page of the Acknowledgements as my plane door opened in Atlanta from Arkansas this past week.

But the third volume was a great ending, and thoroughly enjoyable throughout.

Now, I feel I need to re-read Cryptonomicon. And thus, I will.